The Impact Of Climate Change On Nigeria's Agricultural Output. An Overview

Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2020 in the subject Geography / Earth Science - Meteorology, Aeronomy, Climatology, grade: 1, Kogi State Polytechnic, course: Economics, language: English, abstract: This study investigates the impact of climate change on agricultural output in Nigeria economy within the period of 1986 to 2017.

The study employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The study examined the impact of climate change on Nigeriäs agricultural output. Investigated the existence of longrun relationship between climate change and agricultural outputs in Nigeria, examined the direction of causation between climate change and economic growth in Nigeria. From the findings it was discovered that one year lag value of carbon emission is highly significant, and it is positively related to agricultural output in the short run and long run. It was also discovered that one year lag of rainfall is negatively related to agricultural output and it is insignificant. Furthermore, it was also revealed that one year lag of temperature is positively related to agricultural output, meaning there is a positive relationship between agricultural output and temperature in Nigeria.

The study therefore recommended that it is necessary for the government and other relevant authorities to constantly provide information on rainfall distribution ahead of time to help the farmers plan. And also recommended that government should ensure appropriate temperature information most especially there is need that various agricultural output needs to put into consideration.