Statistical analysis and forecast of CO2 emissions in Colombia

This research conducted a characterization of the variable CO2 emissions and vehicle fleet, a normality test was applied to the data using the Shapiro Wilk analysis, a Pearson correlation test that resulted in a weak correlation of r=-0.2785 due to the increased participation of non-conventional renewable sources in the country's energy matrix, a future projection was made using the least squares model, year by year from 2023 to 2030, resulting in the year 2024 CO2 emissions of 74.However, due to the substantial increase in the number of vehicles, the model yielded probable CO2 emission limits for the next eight (8) years of between 74,266.59 and 90,651.98 CO2 emissions in Colombia.