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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

von Gunther Schmidt und Winfried Schröder
Softcover - 9783319038223
53,49 €
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Beschreibung

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

Details

Verlag Springer International Publishing
Ersterscheinung 08. Januar 2014
Maße 23.5 cm x 15.5 cm
Gewicht 119 Gramm
Format Softcover
ISBN-13 9783319038223
Seiten 58

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