{"product_id":"navigating-uncertainty-using-foresight-intelligence-von-bruce-garvey-und-adam-d-m-svendsen","title":"Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence","description":"\n                                \n                \u003cp\u003eThis book brings together a diverse range of findings on current and emerging business concerns when the authors were developing a series of 12 working Analytic Research Consortium (ARC) White Papers. It presents several, differently configured scenarios, drawing on cyber as an example; the use and further optimization of estimative\/probabilistic language; communicating analytical insights and other findings concerning ‘(un)certainty’ to decision-maker end-users; and mitigating risk. It also evaluates in detail today’s rapidly evolving Gen-AI systems and technologies, e.g. those underlying OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Bard\/Gemini. This includes their respective value concerning scenario development and other business-relevant methods, tools and techniques, e.g. ‘Red Teaming’. The topics discussed are assessed using the multi-methodologies of, firstly, ‘Intelligence Engineering’ (IE) and, secondly, ‘Strategic Options Analysis’ (SOA). The latter half of the book introduces an alternative scenario planning process, including use of new computer-software and AI tools. In addition to Gen-AI, we identify that the emerging discipline of Causal AI may work better for foresight and scenario activities.\u003c\/p\u003e\n                                \n                \n                \u003cp\u003eThe book is a valuable read for a diverse readership from the public and private sectors, spanning government, the military, law enforcement, education, industry, commerce, retail, and enterprises of all sizes. Also, students at business schools and high-level decision-makers, including politicians, military commanders, and C-Suite leaders in various fields, will benefit from it.\u003c\/p\u003e\n                            \n            \u003cdiv class=\"aw-variant-hidden-subtitle-div\" id=\"aw-variant-subtitle-9783031661143\"\u003e\u003ch3\u003eA Guidebook for Scoping Scenario Options in Cyber and Beyond\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"aw-variant-hidden-subtitle-div\" id=\"aw-variant-subtitle-9783031661174\"\u003e\u003ch3\u003eA Guidebook for Scoping Scenario Options in Cyber and Beyond\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Autorenwelt Shop","offers":[{"title":"Hardcover - 9783031661143","offer_id":50355404374341,"sku":"9783031661143","price":117.69,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true},{"title":"Softcover - 9783031661174","offer_id":56344599036229,"sku":"9783031661174","price":85.59,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0940\/0622\/files\/e5f42d51-69a7-4e3a-88b2-a608c1208d3b.jpg?v=1781756213","url":"https:\/\/shop.autorenwelt.de\/en\/products\/navigating-uncertainty-using-foresight-intelligence-von-bruce-garvey-und-adam-d-m-svendsen","provider":"Autorenwelt Shop","version":"1.0","type":"link"}